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Short answers. Where a number appears it is re-derived from our own ledgers, with its denominator attached.
Software that prices sports and event-contract markets, trades a small real account on Kalshi, and publishes the whole record — wins and losses. We are a software publisher, not a broker, exchange, adviser or fund.
No, and we are built so we cannot. Members run the bot on their own machine with their own exchange key. That key never passes through us, and we have no login to your account. See running it 24/7.
Yes, in the same format as the winners. A record with only winners in it is not a record. It is also why we published a strategy that lost money over 170 trades rather than deleting it.
Because what you are paid depends on the price you paid, not on how often you were right. A book can win most of its trades and lose money if the losses are bigger. The arithmetic is on the learn page.
Kalshi charges 0.07 × P × (1 − P) per contract, which is worst in the
middle of the book. As a share of the money you put up it is
0.07 × (1 − P) — so a 10¢ contract costs 6.3% of your stake to enter
and a 90¢ one costs 0.7%. Worked table on /learn.
The trades are real and already settled; the bankroll and the position sizing are not. That makes it simulated performance — real picks, constructed capital. It replays only trades that finished at least 24 hours earlier, so nothing on it is actionable. Run it yourself.
A bot's trades are its picks. Publishing the blotter live would give away the pick for free and let anyone step in front of our own fill in a thin market. Settled trades on a delay give you the evidence without either problem.
Yes. Cancellation is scheduled rather than immediate — you keep access until the end of the period you have paid for, and nothing renews after that.
Tell us. Several real errors on this site were found by people reading carefully, and every one of them became a rule in the code rather than a note.
Educational and informational only. EDGEWISE is software — not a broker, exchange, investment adviser or commodity trading advisor — and nothing here is investment, trading, legal or tax advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Event contracts carry risk, including total loss of the amount committed.
For educational and informational purposes only. EDGEWISE is software. It is not a broker, exchange, investment adviser, or commodity trading advisor, and nothing it produces is investment, trading, legal, or tax advice. No output is personalized to any individual's circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any record, probability, or projection shown is an estimate produced by software over a limited sample and is frequently wrong. Event contracts carry risk, including total loss of the amount committed. Do not commit money you cannot afford to lose.
You are solely responsible for every order you place and for operating within your exchange's rules, including any personal position or trading limits applied to your account. Software provided by EDGEWISE is standardized and identical for all users; it is not customized to any individual.